By The Associated Press Election Day is here. Voters nationwide will decide control of the U.S. House and Senate. Democrats must flip four seats in the Senate and three seats in the House to wrest control of the chambers from Republicans.

Polling expert Nate Silver says the Democrats have an 8-in-10 chance of flipping the Senate in the midterms after the latest polls showing “fantastic” numbers for the party. Writing on his Silver Bulletin Substack,

Polls show tight races in a handful of states, making it difficult to tell whether Democrats or Republicans will prevail.

Democrats are favored to win both chambers of Congress in the 2026 midterms. As of November 3, prediction markets give Democrats about a 94% chance of winning the House and about a 76% chance of winning the Senate. Republicans are priced at around 6% to keep the House and 24% to keep the Senate.

Democrats are increasingly optimistic about the midterms. But they are being outspent by Republicans. And they are trying to compete in states that favored President Trump by large margins.

A Democratic takeover of the House would unlock sweeping subpoena and investigative powers. But will they use them to impeach Trump, or focus elsewhere?

Democrats have a 77% chance to win the Senate, per prediction markets. Read on to learn more on who will win the Senate in the Midterm Elections.

Democrats are up in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio, have an edge in Alaska and are effectively tied with Republicans in Iowa, new New York Times/Siena polls found.

Prediction markets expect Democrats to finish the 2026 midterms with 52 or more Senate seats. On Kalshi, "more than 52 seats" is the single most likely outcome at about 54%, followed by exactly 52 at 15% and exactly 51 at 7%. Democrats currently hold 47 seats, so any of those would mean a Senate majority.

On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.

In 2024, Donald Trump’s election night wins in the presidential battlegrounds of Georgia, North Carolina, Texas and Florida meant that most Americans went to bed on Tuesday with a good idea of the result of the election — and woke up to the networks having called enough states to declare Trump the president-elect.